Earthquake Prediction by Tiempe

Earth Sensitive quake predictions

Thursday, October 13, 2011

*For Sunday, 16 October 2011.



LEGEND for OVERVIEW: Size = My surety of area for quake.
Red Circle = Probable quake to STRONG quake.
Triangle = Very Strong/Stronger quake (Usually takes extra days).
Blue Circle, etc. = Uncertainty of symptom area for probable quake.
Gold Circle = Volcanic symptom.
(If I find a matching symptom in my database I will give a
probable magnitude.

Places to watch.

Good luck to all.

For Sunday, 16 October 2011.
------------------------------------

(Possible major quaking in Honshu, Japan area
and other places I missed the areas for
as posted on: For Friday, 16 September 2011.)
------------------------------------
2011-10-16 09:46:01.0 36.11 N 142.20 E 12 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011-10-16 06:47:16.0 27.28 N 139.40 E 552 4.4 BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION

Possible 6 or stronger in Tonga or New Zealand area
and in Honshu, Japan area - Chunk symptoms but
difficult to locate coordinates or timing - may not
occur until 16 November if at all.
------------------------------------
(Watch for these in November.)

NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
(35.76N 141.22E) (May be synchronized with
chunk symptoms for the day. Probable 5.5
and probable multiples)
------------------------------------
2011-10-16 09:46:01.0 36.11 N 142.20 E 12 4.7 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011-10-16 06:47:16.0 27.28 N 139.40 E 552 4.4 BONIN ISLANDS, JAPAN REGION

2011-10-17 20:34:01.0 39.65 N 143.47 E 30 5.1 OFF EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
2011-10-17 09:15:22.4 37.55 N 141.77 E 26 4.8 NEAR EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Kilauea Summit (19.413N 155.293W)
(Probable 2.5 and probable multiples)
------------------------------------
2.1 2011/10/16 19:39:29 19.325 -155.124 8.4 16 km ( 10 mi) S of Fern Forest, HI

2.1 2011/10/17 10:33:07 19.292 -154.985 40.0 21 km ( 13 mi) SSW of Leilani Estates, HI
1.8 2011/10/17 03:59:31 19.181 -155.554 8.3 8 km ( 5 mi) WSW of Pahala, HI
1.7 2011/10/17 02:06:41 19.321 -155.145 6.9 17 km ( 10 mi) S of Fern Forest, HI

2.5 2011/10/18 05:04:48 19.954 -155.230 13.2 3 km ( 2 mi) S of Laupahoehoe, HI
2.2 2011/10/18 00:48:32 19.226 -155.310 18.0 18 km ( 11 mi) E of Pahala, HI
(2 extra days)

1.8 2011/10/19 20:46:25 19.210 -155.423 34.6 6 km ( 4 mi) E of Pahala, HI
2.3 2011/10/19 16:49:48 19.433 -155.399 11.0 17 km ( 11 mi) W of Volcano, HI
1.7 2011/10/19 12:26:59 19.294 -155.492 7.3 10 km ( 6 mi) N of Pahala, HI
2.3 2011/10/19 11:28:26 19.640 -155.224 52.7 14 km ( 9 mi) NW of Mountain View, HI
1.8 2011/10/19 05:14:54 19.472 -155.451 0.0 23 km ( 14 mi) W of Volcano, HI
(3 extra days)

2.2 2011/10/20 18:12:38 19.889 -155.534 17.8 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.2 2011/10/20 13:13:36 19.875 -155.539 17.5 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.1 2011/10/20 12:56:53 19.876 -155.546 16.7 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.2 2011/10/20 10:50:01 19.859 -155.550 13.9 22 km ( 14 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.5 2011/10/20 10:05:28 19.881 -155.544 17.8 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.1 2011/10/20 09:55:07 19.881 -155.542 17.2 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
3.4 2011/10/20 09:42:06 19.860 -155.539 15.3 23 km ( 14 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.8 2011/10/20 09:32:11 19.880 -155.542 16.4 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.4 2011/10/20 08:08:39 19.872 -155.542 17.3 22 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.2 2011/10/20 06:39:45 19.883 -155.542 18.1 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.1 2011/10/20 06:15:40 19.876 -155.546 17.4 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.6 2011/10/20 06:04:29 19.887 -155.544 16.6 20 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.4 2011/10/20 04:42:08 19.884 -155.542 17.7 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
1.9 2011/10/20 04:32:04 19.883 -155.541 19.2 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
3.7 2011/10/20 04:17:33 19.304 -155.221 9.9 16 km ( 10 mi) S of Volcano, HI
2.2 2011/10/20 04:12:08 19.875 -155.539 16.6 22 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.5 2011/10/20 03:21:26 19.871 -155.549 14.3 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.7 2011/10/20 03:16:08 19.881 -155.546 19.3 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.3 2011/10/20 02:14:31 19.844 -155.546 14.8 24 km ( 15 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.0 2011/10/20 01:48:54 19.880 -155.548 17.6 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.2 2011/10/20 01:42:19 19.895 -155.554 17.2 19 km ( 12 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.3 2011/10/20 01:29:13 19.881 -155.547 17.0 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.5 2011/10/20 01:24:05 19.875 -155.537 17.9 22 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.1 2011/10/20 01:22:20 19.890 -155.545 17.6 20 km ( 12 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.7 2011/10/20 01:11:01 19.863 -155.533 17.0 23 km ( 14 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.1 2011/10/20 01:04:37 19.880 -155.545 18.0 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
3.3 2011/10/20 00:59:00 19.884 -155.539 19.5 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.4 2011/10/20 00:57:03 19.855 -155.542 14.8 23 km ( 14 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.6 2011/10/20 00:48:01 19.881 -155.541 16.7 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.4 2011/10/20 00:45:56 19.845 -155.546 14.7 24 km ( 15 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.8 2011/10/20 00:45:17 19.879 -155.545 15.2 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.1 2011/10/20 00:33:40 19.886 -155.548 18.1 20 km ( 12 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
1.7 2011/10/20 00:31:52 19.858 -155.527 16.2 24 km ( 15 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.0 2011/10/20 00:30:47 19.838 -155.408 16.7 23 km ( 14 mi) S of Paauilo, HI
2.5 2011/10/20 00:27:44 19.878 -155.536 18.6 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.4 2011/10/20 00:25:25 19.874 -155.547 16.3 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
3.1 2011/10/20 00:21:04 19.871 -155.543 15.7 22 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
2.0 2011/10/20 00:18:11 19.865 -155.522 16.9 24 km ( 15 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
1.9 2011/10/20 00:16:15 19.883 -155.541 17.8 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
3.6 2011/10/20 00:12:34 19.882 -155.533 16.6 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
4.5 2011/10/20 00:10:04 19.883 -155.532 18.8 21 km ( 13 mi) SE of Waimea, HI
(4 extra days. Much more movement than expected - may be a chunk symptom that I missed.)

2011-10-20 00:10:04.2 19.89 N 155.53 W 19 4.5 ISLAND OF HAWAII, HAWAII

SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION
(58.08S 22.17W)
then SOUTH OF AFRICA (52.94S 21.08E)
(Probable 4.5 and probable multiples)
------------------------------------
2011-10-13 23:27:31.0 53.10 S 47.06 W 10 4.8 SOUTH ATLANTIC OCEAN
(3 days early)

OFF COAST OF OREGON (43.26N 126.80W)
(Probable 4.5 and probable multiples)
------------------------------------
1.3 2011/10/15 20:20:24 47.886N 124.804W 31.0 32 km (20 mi) WSW of Forks, WA
1.7 2011/10/15 18:15:32 46.402N 119.252W 0.1 14 km ( 9 mi) N of Richland, WA
1.3 2011/10/15 16:30:07 46.406N 119.259W 0.4 14 km ( 9 mi) N of Richland, WA
1.6 2011/10/15 06:32:56 45.166N 122.612W 20.4 3 km ( 2 mi) NW of Molalla, OR

1.4 2011/10/16 18:22:31 46.773N 120.709W 9.6 5 km ( 3 mi) N of Naches, WA
2.0 2011/10/16 17:26:55 46.409N 119.259W 0.6 15 km ( 9 mi) N of Richland, WA
1.5 2011/10/16 15:17:16 46.195N 122.183W 0.9 1 km ( 0 mi) SSW of Mount St. Helens Volcano, WA
2.1 2011/10/16 01:51:30 46.748N 121.920W 9.6 8 km ( 5 mi) E of Ashford, WA

WEST SPITSBERGEN SVALBARD (78.48 15.88)
(Probable 3 and probable multiples)
------------------------------------
MOHNS RIDGE
Origin time Lat Lon Azres Timres Wres Nphase Ntot Nsta Netmag
2011-289:00.41.05.0 71.94 2.14 8.30 0.21 2.28 2 2 1 2.00
NORTH OF SVALBARD
Origin time Lat Lon Azres Timres Wres Nphase Ntot Nsta Netmag
2011-289:04.09.29.0 84.22 24.89 13.55 0.02 3.40 2 2 1 2.53
WEST SPITSBERGEN SVALBARD
Origin time Lat Lon Azres Timres Wres Nphase Ntot Nsta Netmag
2011-289:06.16.38.0 77.57 15.22 13.83 0.41 3.87 3 3 2 2.01
WESTERN BARENTS SEA
Origin time Lat Lon Azres Timres Wres Nphase Ntot Nsta Netmag
2011-289:08.31.47.0 76.36 24.08 12.18 4.16 7.20 4 9 3 2.12
KNIPOVICH REGION
Origin time Lat Lon Azres Timres Wres Nphase Ntot Nsta Netmag
2011-289:08.47.29.0 75.33 14.03 9.37 0.98 3.32 3 4 2 2.16
NORDAUSTLANDET SVALBARD
Origin time Lat Lon Azres Timres Wres Nphase Ntot Nsta Netmag
2011-289:12.26.11.0 79.64 23.34 12.09 0.23 3.25 3 10 3 2.65
NORTH OF SVALBARD
Origin time Lat Lon Azres Timres Wres Nphase Ntot Nsta Netmag
2011-289:12.44.08.0 82.05 33.09 11.95 0.46 3.45 3 3 3 2.47
KNIPOVICH REGION
Origin time Lat Lon Azres Timres Wres Nphase Ntot Nsta Netmag
2011-289:12.54.23.0 78.55 5.94 5.60 0.30 1.70 2 2 1 2.19
KNIPOVICH REGION
Origin time Lat Lon Azres Timres Wres Nphase Ntot Nsta Netmag
2011-289:14.04.59.0 75.18 16.39 5.94 3.26 4.74 3 5 3 2.30
WEST SPITSBERGEN SVALBARD
Origin time Lat Lon Azres Timres Wres Nphase Ntot Nsta Netmag
2011-289:14.06.53.0 78.47 15.95 12.16 4.47 7.51 2 3 2 2.75

TAIWAN area (24.04N 121.72E) (Different
symptom but second day for general area.
Probable 5 and probable multiples)
------------------------------------
2011-10-17 06:03:47.0 22.76 N 124.88 E 2 5.1 SOUTHEAST OF TAIWAN

IRAN-IRAQ BORDER REGION (36.26N 44.77E)
(Probable 3 and probable multiples)
------------------------------------
2011-10-15 14:18:34.8 27.37 N 55.88 E 18 3.6 SOUTHERN IRAN

2011-10-17 10:07:39.8 28.16 N 59.36 E 10 3.7 SOUTHEASTERN IRAN
2011-10-17 00:02:44.0 35.45 N 54.43 E 2 3.8 NORTHERN IRAN

SOUTHERN PERU (17.65S 71.20W)
(Probable 4.5 and probable multiples)
------------------------------------
2011-10-13 15:06:16.0 6.61 S 75.80 W 10 5.2 NORTHERN PERU
(3 days early)

2011-10-17 15:22:43.0 5.42 S 77.28 W 40 4.7 NORTHERN PERU

FRANCE (46.43N 2.55E)
(Probable 3 and probable multiples)
------------------------------------
2011-10-17 22:20:37.6 46.03 N 6.88 E 4 1.2 FRANCE
2011-10-17 22:08:02.0 46.03 N 6.86 E 5 2.4 FRANCE
2011-10-17 21:40:53.0 46.03 N 6.83 E 2 2.3 FRANCE

Bay of Plenty area (37.72°S, 176.88°E)
(Probable 4 and probable multiples)
------------------------------------
Sunday, 16 October 2011 at 12:39 am 41.69°S, 172.16°E 20 km north-west of Murchison 5 km 3.1
Sunday, 16 October 2011 at 9:39 am 39.32°S, 178.02°E 60 km south-east of Wairoa 40 km 4.3
Sunday, 16 October 2011 at 1:55 pm 43.60°S, 172.74°E 10 km south-east of Christchurch 7 km 2.9

Monday, 17 October 2011 at 1:12 am 43.60°S, 172.53°E 10 km south-west of Christchurch 12 km 3.8
Monday, 17 October 2011 at 2:36 am 39.37°S, 175.27°E 10 km north-west of Ohakune 25 km 3.5
Monday, 17 October 2011 at 11:52 am 43.59°S, 172.70°E 10 km south-east of Christchurch 8 km 2.8
Monday, 17 October 2011 at 7:02 pm 43.58°S, 172.85°E 20 km east of Christchurch 10 km 3.1

NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA
(-5.105 151.633)
(Probable 5 and probable multiples)
------------------------------------
2011-10-14 03:35:15.0 6.61 S 147.98 E 43 6.5 EASTERN NEW GUINEA REG., P.N.G.
(2 days early)

2011-10-17 19:51:55.0 5.84 S 151.05 E 46 5.3 NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.

2011-10-18 05:05:05.0 5.76 S 151.02 E 20 6.0 NEW BRITAIN REGION, P.N.G.
(2 extra days)

2011-10-19 04:54:23.0 4.78 S 134.22 E 2 5.0 NEAR S COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA
(3 extra days)

Cyprus Region (35.42N 32.44)
(Probable 4 and probable multiples)
------------------------------------
2011-10-17 12:43:25.0 36.92 N 39.94 E 9 2.7 TURKEY-SYRIA BORDER REGION
2011-10-17 08:54:24.6 35.44 N 33.44 E 17 2.6 CYPRUS REGION

2011-10-18 15:15:38.8 37.55 N 42.59 E 7 3.0 TURKEY-SYRIA-IRAQ BORDER REGION
2011-10-18 09:34:45.0 35.52 N 34.42 E 15 3.2 CYPRUS REGION
(2 extra days)

2011-10-19 09:51:18.7 36.99 N 36.01 E 5 2.4 TURKEY-SYRIA BORDER REGION
(3 extra days)

**Unplaced quakes using EMSC listing.
http://www.emsc-csem.org/Earthquake/index.php?filter=no&view=1&ago=false
2011-10-16 17:33:12.0 52.02 N 171.82 W 55 4.6 FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
2011-10-16 12:39:13.0 2.52 S 12.28 W 30 4.7 NORTH OF ASCENSION ISLAND
2011-10-16 00:31:12.0 35.81 N 76.44 E 48 4.5 NORTHWESTERN KASHMIR
2011-10-16 00:16:00.3 63.52 N 22.54 W 1 3.9 ICELAND REGION

Peace to all.