Earthquake Prediction by Tiempe

Earth Sensitive quake predictions

Monday, November 30, 2009

*For Thursday, 3 December 2009



LEGEND for OVERVIEW: Size = My surety of area for quake.
Red Circle = Probable quake to STRONG quake.
Triangle = Very Strong/Stronger quake (Usually takes extra days).
Blue Circle, etc. = Uncertainty of symptom area for probable quake.
Gold Circle = Volcanic symptom.
(If I find a matching symptom in my database I will give a
probable magnitude.)

Places to watch.

Good luck to all.

For Thursday, 3 December 2009
--------------------------------------

CZECH REPUBLIC (50.61N 14.04E)
then POLAND area (50.18N 18.91E)
then Germany (49.4N 7.0E)
(Probable 3 and probable multiples)
--------------------------------------
2009-12-02 16:16:10.9 50.28N 18.83E 2 ML2.8 POLAND
2009-12-02 15:59:41.0 51.49N 16.14E 5 ML3.0 POLAND
2009-12-02 05:31:34.1 43.78N 19.06E 7 ML2.4 BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA
2009-12-02 05:04:24.1 49.91N 18.36E 2 ML3.1 CZECH REPUBLIC

2009-12-03 11:08:47.2 51.28N 11.70E 2 M 2.5 GERMANY

2009-12-04 22:37:34.7 49.85N 18.50E 4 ML2.1 CZECH REPUBLIC

Parkfield, CA area (35.804 -120.353)
to Pleasanton, CA (37.647 -121.880)
(Probable 4.5 and probable multiples)
--------------------------------------
1.5 2009/12/02 16:58:53 36.390 -121.034 0.0 19 km ( 12 mi) SSE of Pinnacles, CA
1.3 2009/12/02 15:59:42 36.549 -121.132 8.9 2 km ( 1 mi) NNE of Pinnacles, CA
1.0 2009/12/02 15:24:24 36.587 -121.048 7.3 11 km ( 7 mi) NE of Pinnacles, CA
1.3 2009/12/02 13:20:42 36.005 -120.879 10.2 3 km ( 2 mi) SE of San Ardo, CA
1.3 2009/12/02 12:40:42 36.409 -120.990 5.8 19 km ( 12 mi) SE of Pinnacles, CA
2.0 2009/12/02 10:31:58 37.360 -121.726 6.2 9 km ( 5 mi) E of Alum Rock, CA
2.0 2009/12/02 07:52:31 36.145 -121.283 18.7 16 km ( 10 mi) WSW of King City, CA
1.1 2009/12/02 05:27:23 36.855 -121.319 6.5 7 km ( 4 mi) E of Hollister, CA

1.5 2009/12/03 20:02:07 37.912 -121.955 0.0 4 km ( 2 mi) SSW of Clayton, CA
1.5 2009/12/03 14:03:51 36.663 -121.284 4.8 14 km ( 9 mi) SSE of Tres Pinos, CA
2.2 2009/12/03 12:41:38 35.664 -121.078 8.8 10 km ( 6 mi) ENE of San Simeon, CA
1.9 2009/12/03 09:15:50 36.232 -120.802 7.7 23 km ( 14 mi) ENE of San Lucas, CA
2.4 2009/12/03 05:26:12 36.573 -121.167 5.7 5 km ( 3 mi) NNW of Pinnacles, CA
1.0 2009/12/03 05:18:21 36.053 -120.608 9.1 23 km ( 14 mi) NW of Parkfield, CA
2.4 2009/12/03 05:06:47 36.911 -119.303 6.7 21 km ( 13 mi) S of Shaver Lake, CA
1.7 2009/12/03 04:53:02 35.888 -119.270 6.0 1 km ( 0 mi) N of Earlimart, CA

1.7 2009/12/04 20:00:17 35.482 -120.600 0.0 7 km ( 4 mi) E of Atascadero, CA
1.6 2009/12/04 10:39:01 35.752 -121.278 2.5 14 km ( 9 mi) NW of San Simeon, CA
1.5 2009/12/04 06:20:45 36.051 -120.597 4.7 22 km ( 14 mi) NW of Parkfield, CA

Hawaii/Kilauea Summit
(19.406N 155.271W) (Second day
symptoms - Strong)
--------------------------------------
(Nothing found)

The New Madrid Fault (Various areas -
probable 2 and probable multiples)
--------------------------------------
1.0 2009/12/03 11:18:33 35.122 -85.118 10.4 3 km ( 2 mi) E of Harrison, TN

1.7 2009/12/04 09:15:11 36.755 -89.454 12.4 7 km ( 4 mi) WSW of East Prairie, MO

OFFSHORE GUATEMALA (14.24N 92.29W)
(Probable 4.5)
--------------------------------------
09/12/02 23:19:51 11.10N 85.97W 15.0 2.8MC Frente a San Juan del Sur
09/12/02 22:19:18 11.77N 86.49W 100.6 2.7MC Carazo
09/12/02 10:55:51 11.35N 87.56W 1.0 3.8ML Frente a Puerto Sandino
09/12/02 07:29:48 12.40N 87.48W 16.7 2.5ML Frente a Corinto
09/12/02 05:46:23 14.69N 89.94W 40.4 5.5ML Guatemala
09/12/02 03:32:14 12.67N 86.92W 3.2 2.3ML Cerca del Volcan San Cristóba

09/12/03 14:14:31 11.42N 86.91W 11.8 2.8MC Frente a Masachapa

09/12/04 19:15:17 12.14N 88.00W 15.0 3.3ML Oceano Pacífico de Nicaragua
09/12/04 16:45:30 13.55N 87.98W 15.0 3.9ML El Salvador
09/12/04 11:27:55 11.64N 86.46W 74.9 2.9ML Frente a La Boquita y Casares
09/12/04 09:33:52 11.95N 86.08W 22.8 2.3ML Masaya/Nindirí/Ticuantepe
09/12/04 02:53:00 12.35N 87.80W 10.6 3.0ML Frente al Cosigüina

SOUTHERN IRAN (27.40N 53.70E)
(Probable 4.5)
--------------------------------------
2009-12-02 12:37:56.0 28.63N 53.64E 20 mb4.8 SOUTHERN IRAN

2009-12-03 20:14:20.0 34.81N 44.93E 5 ML3.8 IRAQ?
2009-12-03 15:05:11.6 37.22N 54.49E 8 ML3.9 NORTHERN IRAN?

LAKE TANGANYIKA REGION (6.72S 29.87E)
(Probable 4.5 and probable multiples)
--------------------------------------
2009-12-02 04:20:37.3 20.47S 64.52E 10f mb5.3 RODRIGUES REGION, MAURITIUS?

2009-12-06 19:36:41 4.8 10.16S 34.01 E 10 M Malawi
2009-12-06 18:29:17 5.3 10.06S 33.81 E 5 A Malawi
2009-12-06 18:00:01 4.8 10.12S 33.73 E 10 M Malawi
2009-12-06 17:58:16 4.7 10.22S 33.94 E 21 M Malawi
2009-12-06 17:36:37 5.8 10.17S 33.77 E 11 M Malawi
(3 extra days)

2009-12-07 18:09:46.2 9.70S 34.16E 33 mb4.9 MALAWI
2009-12-07 09:31:43.7 10.23S 33.89E 10 mb4.9 MALAWI
2009-12-07 03:35:39.1 10.14S 33.93E 2 mb4.7 MALAWI
2009-12-07 03:01:39.4 17.85S 65.68E 10f mb4.5 MAURITIUS - REUNION REGION?
(4 extra days)

2009-12-08 03:08:57.8 9.9S 33.84E 10 Mw5.9 MALAWI
(5 extra days)

2009-12-06 19:36:41.7 10.14S 33.87E 10 mb4.8 MALAWI
2009-12-06 18:29:19.8 10.21S 33.77E 40 mb5.2 MALAWI
2009-12-06 18:00:01.2 10.06S 33.85E 10 mb4.8 MALAWI
2009-12-06 17:36:37.9 10.11S 33.75E 10 mb5.5 MALAWI
(From GEOFON - EMSC missing the 17:58 or re-assessing it down to 1 quake)

news.asiaone.com

West Richland, WA (46.393N 119.290W)
(May include Mt. St. Helens. Probable 2
and probable multiples)
--------------------------------------
1.5 2009/12/02 11:13:57 44.565N 122.588W 8.0 20 km (13 mi) ENE of Waterloo, OR
1.4 2009/12/02 06:52:34 42.200N 123.535W 49.3 10 km ( 6 mi) ENE of Cave Junction, OR

2.3 2009/12/03 23:21:45 46.196N 122.308W 11.8 10 km ( 6 mi) W of Mount St. Helens Volcano, WA
1.4 2009/12/03 18:23:34 46.193N 122.311W 11.6 10 km ( 6 mi) W of Mount St. Helens Volcano, WA
1.5 2009/12/03 18:14:51 46.846N 121.736W 0.6 24 km (15 mi) ENE of Ashford, WA
1.2 2009/12/03 10:56:05 46.189N 122.297W 11.4 9 km ( 6 mi) W of Mount St. Helens Volcano, WA

1.1 2009/12/04 15:12:01 46.197N 122.308W 11.8 10 km ( 6 mi) W of Mount St. Helens Volcano, WA

2.0 2009/12/05 23:25:22 46.190N 122.300W 11.2 9 km ( 6 mi) W of Mount St. Helens Volcano, WA
1.5 2009/12/05 11:00:39 46.189N 122.300W 11.2 9 km ( 6 mi) W of Mount St. Helens Volcano, WA
(2 extra days)

Possibly ICELAND (63.70N 19.53W)
(Unproven symptom - may be nearer
Baffin Bay area. Probable 3
and probable multiples)
--------------------------------------
2009-12-03 06:43:26.3 72.41N 70.30W 10 M4.7 BAFFIN BAY

Idyllwild, CA area (33.666 -116.803)
(Probable 2 and probable multiples)
--------------------------------------
1.9 2009/12/03 21:23:57 33.847 -117.492 0.0 7 km ( 5 mi) ESE of Corona, CA
1.3 2009/12/03 21:09:16 33.183 -115.607 0.0 3 km ( 2 mi) ENE of Obsidian Butte, CA
1.0 2009/12/03 19:27:53 34.044 -116.320 9.7 9 km ( 6 mi) S of Joshua Tree, CA
1.5 2009/12/03 18:30:17 33.202 -116.736 7.1 4 km ( 2 mi) NE of Mesa Grande, CA
1.4 2009/12/03 18:28:31 33.259 -116.423 4.9 5 km ( 3 mi) WNW of Borrego Springs, CA
2.2 2009/12/03 18:06:48 33.098 -116.215 5.6 9 km ( 6 mi) WSW of Ocotillo Wells, CA
1.0 2009/12/03 17:54:08 34.069 -117.215 6.0 4 km ( 2 mi) NE of Loma Linda, CA
2.9 2009/12/03 17:44:37 33.256 -116.435 4.8 6 km ( 4 mi) W of Borrego Springs, CA
1.7 2009/12/03 15:59:14 34.186 -117.592 5.2 7 km ( 4 mi) N of Rancho Cucamonga, CA
1.2 2009/12/03 11:58:41 33.392 -116.375 5.0 16 km ( 10 mi) N of Borrego Springs, CA
1.0 2009/12/03 07:36:44 34.013 -117.162 10.5 5 km ( 3 mi) S of Redlands, CA
1.5 2009/12/03 04:30:40 33.359 -116.288 11.9 15 km (9 mi) NNE of Borrego Springs, CA
1.3 2009/12/03 01:18:27 34.014 -117.205 11.9 6 km ( 4 mi) SSW of Redlands, CA
1.8 2009/12/03 01:08:58 33.020 -117.760 6.0 41 km ( 25 mi) WSW of Camp Pendleton South, CA

Greece/Aegean Sea/Turkey (Medium)
--------------------------------------
2009-12-02 20:47:53.4 35.65N 23.79E 20 ML3.1 CRETE, GREECE
2009-12-02 20:44:18.6 38.74N 25.78E 10 ML2.8 AEGEAN SEA
2009-12-02 17:57:21.6 39.31N 24.49E 10 ML2.5 AEGEAN SEA
2009-12-02 14:57:01.6 36.41N 24.13E 10 ML3.1 SOUTHERN GREECE
2009-12-02 13:31:05.5 39.09N 23.51E 10 ML2.6 AEGEAN SEA
2009-12-02 13:12:14.7 40.62N 29.01E 9 MD3.0 WESTERN TURKEY
2009-12-02 11:51:44.6 40.64N 21.72E 2 ML2.5 GREECE
2009-12-02 11:09:54.3 35.07N 24.88E 17 ML2.6 CRETE, GREECE
2009-12-02 08:16:24.3 38.66N 31.39E 5 MD2.9 WESTERN TURKEY
2009-12-02 07:08:39.6 39.34N 38.42E 17 MD2.9 EASTERN TURKEY
2009-12-02 05:51:58.3 37.59N 24.01E 28 ML2.5 SOUTHERN GREECE
2009-12-02 03:08:05.0 40.01N 24.50E 15 ML2.8 AEGEAN SEA
2009-12-02 01:25:45.5 39.54N 23.51E 10 ML2.8 AEGEAN SEA
2009-12-02 00:39:11.5 37.85N 22.69E 10 ML2.5 SOUTHERN GREECE

2009-12-03 22:39:48.4 39.35N 33.13E 3 MD3.2 CENTRAL TURKEY
2009-12-03 22:32:30.4 36.18N 22.98E 10 ML3.0 SOUTHERN GREECE
2009-12-03 22:09:57.9 38.76N 23.65E 10 ML3.0 GREECE
2009-12-03 21:44:11.4 38.59N 39.17E 5 MD2.8 EASTERN TURKEY
2009-12-03 20:46:50.2 39.68N 25.66E 10 ML2.8 AEGEAN SEA
2009-12-03 20:31:48.9 36.14N 21.94E 10 ML2.7 SOUTHERN GREECE
2009-12-03 15:18:24.4 41.35N 19.64E 10 ML3.1 ALBANIA
2009-12-03 14:05:55.5 40.09N 20.00E 2 ML3.1 ALBANIA

SAKHALIN, RUSSIA (47.04N 143.64E)
(Probable 4 and probable multiples)
--------------------------------------
2009-12-07 16:10:52.0 53.30N 153.96E 494 mb4.6 SEA OF OKHOTSK
(5 extra days but maybe missed symptoms)

**Unplaced quakes using EMSC listing.
www.emsc-csem.org
2009-12-03 06:12:32.4 56.51S 122.27W 10f mb5.5 SOUTHERN EAST PACIFIC RISE
2009-12-03 01:56:36.3 53.78N 165.47W 60 mb5.2 FOX ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS

Peace to all.